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2025: What’s In Store For The Economy And Healthcare Real Estate?

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As professionals in the healthcare real estate (HRE) industry look ahead to 2025, they are grappling with several important questions.

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When Will Medical Office Building Sales Bounce Back?

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On the surface, the current state of the medical office building (MOB) investment market is about as slow as it’s been for years, maybe decades.

However, as is typically the case with a complex, robust industry like HRE, there is much more going on than meets the eye.

The InterFace Healthcare Real Estate conference investment panel included (from left to right): John Fry, SVP- Acquisitions, Rendina Healthcare Real Estate; Ryan Crowley, SVP, Investments, Healthcare Realty; Alex Bell, Partner, Catalyst Healthcare Real Estate; Eric Lee, Managing Director Medical & Life Sciences, Berkadia Real Estate Advisors LLC; Chris Morgan, Senior Manager, Investments, Big Sky Medical; and the moderator, Andy Dow, Shareholder, Member of Board of Directors and Chair, Real Estate Industry Group, of Winstead PC. (PHOTO CREDIT: HREI)

“The first half of the year volume was down … anywhere from 66 to 71 percent versus the first half of 2022,” said Andy Dow, an attorney with a focus on healthcare real estate (HRE) and the chair of the Real Estate Industry Group with Dallas-based Winstead PC. “The (second quarter) volume was roughly $1.2 billion, which was the lowest quarterly volume ever recorded by RevistaMed (an HRE data and research firm) since it was founded in 2015.”

So when will it bounce back?  Probably not before the elections of 2024, according to the InterFace Healthcare Real Estate panel.

 

Source: HREI

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The Year’s Biggest MOB Deal Could Be A Foreclosure

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Although Ventas did not delineate the MOBs that are included, a search of the RevistaMed database found that Santerre is listed as the owner of about 100 properties. The largest is the 169,000 square foot Elm Plaza at 908 N. Elm St. in Hinsdale, Ill. (PHOTO CREDIT: OfficeSpace.com.)

Most healthcare real estate (HRE) professionals seem to agree that, primarily due to higher interest rates, 2023 medical office building (MOB) sales volume will pale in comparison to recent years.

So the recent announcement that an 88-asset MOB portfolio is about to change hands is big news – and could very well end up being the year’s largest transaction. But, ironically, higher interest rates are exactly what are driving the deal.

Chicago-based Ventas Inc., the nation’s second largest healthcare real estate investment trust, announced on March 31st that it intends to foreclose on a large HRE portfolio that was put up as collateral for a 2019 loan.

 

Source: HREI