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Medical Office Building Sales Were $2B In 3rd Qtr., Occupancies Steady

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MOB sales have certainly been a bit sluggish since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, but not as slow as might’ve been predicted when the crisis first hit.

In fact, according to the latest MOB sales data from Arnold, Md.-based Revista, which provides a variety of HRE information for its subscribers, the volume was about $2 billion in the third quarter (Q3), matching the $2 billion recorded in Q2.

While the Q3 figure is still preliminary, it brings the year-to-date volume for 2020 to about $7.2 billion. It should be noted that Revista’s statistics include only sales involving “pure” MOB outpatient facilities (not administrative buildings) topping $2.5 million.

“Total volume is actually holding pretty steady,” said Revista Principal Hilda Martin during the firm’s Oct. 20 virtual 3Q Medical Real Estate Update and Outlook. “And if you look at the year-to-date total of $7.2 billion, that’s not far off from last year’s volume of $7.8 billion (through the first three quarters). In fact a lot of investors, such as Anchor (Health Properties); MBRE, now Remedy Medical Properties; Hammes; and Montecito Medical are remaining quite active.”

Ms. Martin was joined on the webcast, which provided a variety of MOB sector information and updates, by Revista Principal Mike Hargrave, as well as two executives, CEO Ben Ochs and James Schmid, the chief investment officer, with Media, Pa.-based Anchor Health Properties, one of the MOB sector’s most-active investors and developers in recent years.

Although the year-to-date volume is indeed stronger than what many might have anticipated at the outset of the pandemic, Q4 will need to be a strong one to keep pace with the MOB sales volumes of recent years, as Q4 2019’s volume was a robust $4.3 billion, bringing the year’s total volume to $12.2 billion.

Total MOB sales have topped $10 billion during each of the past five years, according to Revista data, with the past three years each topping $12 billion. The all-time best year recorded by Revista was 2017, when the MOB volume was $15.9 billion.

Mr. Schmid of Anchor, which expects to make MOB acquisitions totaling anywhere from $400 million to $500 million in 2020, said “The first half of the year, especially from February through June, saw a very limited amount of transactions. Some deals that had been under contract (prior to the pandemic) traded during that time, but there was a fair amount of disruption in the debt markets. And obviously, the equity REITs traded off for a good portion of that time, so it took a segment of the investment population out of the market. But our observation is that for the third quarter and the fourth quarter, people are trying to make up for lost time. And there was a lot of comfort gained with the performance of MOB owners’ portfolios during that time.”

Mr. Schmid added that he sees more of a return to “normal, historical volumes” in Q4, with a number of portfolio deals and recapitalizations taking place.

Cap rates have remained fairly steady so far in 2019, averaging about 6.4 percent for all deals, with portfolio transactions garnering a premium with an average cap rate of 5.9 percent.

Ms. Martin noted that private equity buyers have dominated the MOB investor pool so far in 2020, accounting for about 80 percent of the volume. Also, single property sales have accounted for about 65 percent of the volume so far this year.

Revista’s update and webcast included plenty of additional information and data about the MOB sector, including:

■ Demand remains very strong from a wide array of investors for MOBs nationwide, but particularly in the top 100 and top 50 markets, where cap rates have averaged 6.4 percent. Through Q3, MOB transactions have totaled $9.71 billion on a TTM basis in the top 100 markets, with Los Angeles leading the way with $818.9 million of volume and New York coming in at $755.9 million during that time. Los Angeles has had the lowest average cap rate in the trailing 12-month period at 5.5 percent, while Houston came in with the second lowest at 5.7 percent. “This sector has outperformed other types of commercial and residential real estate, and investor have gravitated toward stable cash yields and well-occupied buildings,” Mr. Schmid noted. “And like you said Hilda, the average deal in this sector is about $15 million to $20 million, and what that amounts to is a lot of capital chasing a lot of small transactions.”

■ The national occupancy rate for MOBs remains strong at 91.3 percent, which is basically the same, or close to, what it has been for the past nine quarters, according to Revista data. One of the reasons behind that steady performance is the strong absorption rate, which totaled 16.7 million square feet in Q3 on a trailing 12-month (TTM) basis. This absorption rate is the result of new MOB developments that were substantially pre-leased and delivered with high occupancies. “We’re just not seeing many tenants leave as a result of COVID,” said Mr. Ochs.

■ While year-over-year MOB rent growth in the country’s top 50 markets is slowing just a bit in 2020, it has remained relatively strong at 1.7 percent, compared with 2.1 percent a year ago in Q3 2019. The national average for triple-net MOB rents per square foot in the top 50 markets in Q3 2020 was $22.28 in Q3, according to Revista.

■ The market with the highest average triple-net MOB rents is Los Angeles, where the average PSF was $31.24 as of Q3. The next most-expensive market for MOB rents was Washington, D.C., with an average of $25.70 PSF, followed by New York at $24.60 PSF.

■ MOB construction remains strong. While Q2 and the start of the pandemic saw a slight slowdown in the number of projects started, Ms. Martin said there had already been a bit of a “pull back” at the beginning of 2020 after a strong finish to 2019. According to Revista data, 24.4 million square feet of MOB projects were started in Q3 on a trailing 12-month basis, with the amount of square footage underway during the quarter standing at 43 million, up from 41 million in Q2. Revista data also indicates the country is home to about 36,000 MOBs with a total of about 1.5 billion square feet of space. This typically grows by about 1.5 percent annually. “We saw several projects delayed in Q2, but those were mostly with lower-credit rated health systems,” Mr. Ochs said. “One has to remember that MOB projects are strategically purpose-built, and take a long time to bring to market as they are very carefully thought through from a programming of services perspective.”

■ As for the top MOB development markets, New York headed the list with 1.76 million square feet of space delivered in the four previous quarters including Q3. Houston was next with 672,456 square feet delivered in the last four quarters, followed by Chicago with 534,211 square feet of new MOB space. “We’re seeing strong development numbers in the country’s top 10 markets, with each of them seeing at least 200,000 square feet of new MOB space delivered in the last four quarters,” Mr. Hargrave said.

■ Employment in the ambulatory sector, which includes people working in MOB, surgery centers and other outpatient facilities, fell a whopping 17 percent from February to April, during a time when elective surgeries and procedures were shut down in most states. Since then, however, with most states opening up such procedures, employment in the ambulatory sector has nearly recovered all of those job losses, increasing by about a million jobs, or 16 percent, from April to September.

■ The use of telehealth, while still considered important now and for the future, is not likely to cut into the need for clinical space. According to data from Epic Health Research Network, the use of telehealth, or virtual doctor visits, accounted for about 70 percent of all outpatient visits in the early weeks of the pandemic. However, since then the trend has been reversed, with virtual doctor visits accounting for about 21 percent of all outpatient visits through July, according to Mr. Hargrave. Mr. Ochs noted, that “telehealth has played an important role during this time, and there are a lot of aspects of it that are here to stay.” He added that an oncologist told him that one of his patients, for example, has been able to avoid driving more than two hours for monthly follow-up visits. “But in other cases, in-person reviews with a doctor are necessary,” Mr. Ochs noted.

■ More and more investors as well as healthcare providers are preferring to invest in, or practice in, settings that are off-campus and away from urban cores, such as in suburban or tertiary markets. “It’s well-known that demand for health services moving to the suburbs and other markets,” Mr. Schmid said. “Healthcare services growth is chasing the rooftops and its mostly about wellness and keeping people healthy in order to avoid complications and more expensive (treatments) later on.”

 

Source: HREI

 

 

Medical Office Building Sales Fell Nearly 50 Percent In Q2, But The Sector’s Outlook Is Strong

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The volume of MOB investment sales transactions in the second quarter of 2020 totaled around $2.2 billion, a 43 percent decrease compared to a year ago. In the first quarter of 2020, MOB investment sales volume reached $3.7 billion, according to data firm Real Capital Analytics (RCA).

The CoStar Group, another provider of commercial real estate data, pegs MOB investment sales volume at around $2.1 billion in the second quarter, a drop of 54 percent from $4.7 billion from a year ago.

“The volume of sales has absolutely hit pause, it hit the brakes really hard in the second quarter. You saw a significant drop in sales volume,” says Keith Pierce, research manager for Southeastern region with real estate services firm Transwestern. “The price per square foot did not really shift that much for those sales that did close. But by and large, just everybody froze in late March and largely stayed frozen until sometime in June.”

Average cap rates on transactions involving MOB assets remained at 6.6 percent at the end of the second quarter, flat with the figure from a year ago and the first quarter of 2020, according to RCA. CoStar pegs average MOB cap rates at 6.7 percent, also registering no change from the previous quarter.

“I anticipate seeing somewhat of a flattening,” says Russell Brenner, president of the medical office and life sciences division with real estate investment firm CA. “Once the market truly opens up again and lenders, which have been very selective in where they lend, come back into the market in droves and in a more significant way, I think you may well see cap rates continue to fall. But for probably the next two three quarters, I think it will be a largely flattening of cap rates.”

Earlier during the pandemic, many Americans largely postponed elective procedures, which put a dent on revenues for medical office tenants. But in states where those facilities are reopening, industry sources are reporting pent-up demand.

“We saw very few delinquencies, perhaps a handful of rent deferral requests, but by and large, the healthcare medical office tenancy as a whole stood up very well,” says Brenner. “Certainly now that elective procedures are back on in most parts of the country, MOBs are poised to bounce back and will continue to be a stable and reliable asset class.”

“Medical practices are running at 90 to 95 percent of pre-pandemic levels,” says Steve Hall, senior managing director for healthcare advisory services at Transwestern, who expects this level of demand to continue through the end of the year.

“Many of the company’s tenants are back to 80 percent of pre-pandemic levels of procedures and services,” says Jon Boley, senior vice president of acquisitions and development for HSA PrimeCare, a firm that develops, leases and manages medical facilities.

“The reason these businesses are not back to 100 percent is because they are having to do above-standard cleaning in order to disinfect surgery centers throughout the day,” Hall notes. “A factor that will shore up MOB assets in the future is the dearth of new construction happening right now. During a pandemic, a lot of people aren’t pulling the trigger on a brand new construction. The lack of construction going on right now I think is really going to keep the market strong since there is not going to be oversupply.”

 

Source: HREI

Medical Office Building Sales Surpass $10 Billion For Fifth Consecutive Year

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U.S. medical office building sales continued in an upward trend through the fourth quarter of 2019 and into 2020, driven by steady M&A activity within the healthcare market, says Cleveland-based Brown Gibbons Lang & Company (BGL).

Total MOB sales reached $11.2 billion in 2019, marking the fifth consecutive year that sales surpassed $10 billion and the third successive year topping $11 billion.

“The 2019 tally underscores the fact that medical office properties remain a core asset class,” says BGL. “Demographic and healthcare industry trends are firmly entrenched and forecasted to persist, supporting long-term demand for medical office space.”

Q4 2019 saw a total of 379 MOB deals valued at $4.3 billion, representing a 20% increase in transaction value. The average price per square foot decreased by 8% to $274 per square foot. The cap rate remained unchanged to 6.6%, pushing the 12-month average to 6.6%—a marginal contraction from from 6.7% over the previous 12-month average.

Based in Chicago, MB Real Estate (MBRE) emerged with a 29% share of acquisition volume in the Southeast market and a 12% share nationally in Q4 2019, according to BGL. MBRE’s reach in the Southeast was underscored by the purchase of 900 Village Square Crossing in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida..

Completed in 2012, the two-story, multi-tenant building with 38,944 rentable square feet was acquired from Prestige for approximately $381 per square foot, which is 15% and 23% above the regional and national averages, respectively.

“While sales volume is down year-over-year, pricing remains strong across medical office investments as investors seek to take advantage of continued strength in the U.S. economy,” says BGL. “We continue to see strong demand for medical office assets from public and private REITS as well as private equity and foreign capital investors. Major players dominated M&A activity throughout 2019, which is likely to continue; however, new investors are entering the marketplace, which is setting the stage for a busy first half in 2020,” according to BGL’s report. It also cites a fact that bears repeating: “U.S. healthcare jobs outpaced nearly every other sector during 2019.”

 

Source: Connect Media