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Medical Office Property Remains An Investor Darling, Post COVID-19

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Once again medical office assets have proven their resilience against recessions.

According to a new CBRE report on medical office trends, investment sales of medical office properties experienced a moderate drop compared to most major property types last year as the pandemic gripped the United States. What’s more, investor appetite for medical office product appears to be growing in spite of a dip in healthcare employment in 2020. With a 50 percent drop in patient visits to medical office clinics in 2020, healthcare employment declined by 6.4 percent, according to Oxford Economics data. That was still significantly below an 11.2 percent decline in employment for the broader economy.

“Demand for medical office space for clinical healthcare services experienced a brief decline in 2020, particularly in the early months of the pandemic, when non-emergent outpatient services were suspended,” says Lorie Damon, managing director, healthcare advisory practice at real estate services firm Cushman & Wakefield. “Nevertheless, occupancy remained strong. Since then, healthcare providers that had planned to add new sites, relocate existing sites or acquire additional entities, have continued to do so.”

In fact, demand for space has accelerated as vaccinations were rolled out and new growth opportunities in the medical office sector have emerged as patients who deferred care last year returned, Damon notes.

“Medical office has been the ‘steady Eddie’ through two recessions,” emphasizes Chris Bodnar, vice chairman and co-head of healthcare & life sciences capital markets at CBRE.

In CBRE’s 2021 survey of healthcare real estate’s most influential REITs, institutional investors, private capital investors and developers, 80 percent of respondents said the sector is recession-proof. Property fundamentals data supports this view. Last year, medical office landlords collected more than 95 percent of rent due, according to data firm Revista LLC.

Bodnar says that medical office isn’t prone to huge rent peaks or valleys and last year’s rents were mostly flat. But about half of CBRE’s survey respondents are expecting a 2 to 3 percent increase in rent growth this year. The expectation for rent growth is based on pent-up demand for new space by medical providers that had put expansion plans on hold during the pandemic. A bump in rents for new product is also anticipated—partially due to an increase in construction costs that will be passed through to tenants.

Healthy Outlook

With medical office occupancy remaining stable throughout the pandemic, Damon notes that rents are already rising in some markets that have limited supply and steady demand for quality space. According to Bodnar, with little new product developed in 2020, there is now a dire shortage of new medical office space, which should push up rents.

“Oversupply in this sector was rare even pre-COVID-19,” Bodnar says. “As medical office developers are very disciplined—they don’t build on spec. Rather, they like to create an ecosystem of healthcare tenants that work together—or compliment each other—and then build around that nucleus. With the trend toward consumer-directed healthcare growing, particularly among millennials, providers are seeking space in locations convenient to the populations they serve.”

He notes physician groups and other providers are using GIS (Geographic Information Systems) modeling to look at demographics, population and insurance coverage to help determine where they should expand and how many physicians should be located in a new market. For example, with many young families with small children migrating to the suburbs, pediatricians may find this an optimal location to grow market share.

“Retail centers are on the list of potential sites, as existing space offers greater speed to market than new development,” Bodnar says. “Retail centers also typically offer attractive rental rates.”

Physicians and other healthcare providers prefer open-air centers, as they provide good visibility and can place signage directly above the space so patients can easily find them, according to Bodnar. Other advantages include nearby amenities, convenient access and abundant parking.

Damon notes, however, that medical office tenants’ criteria for space vary depending on the type of practice, patient population served and strategic goals. So, while retail and mixed-use centers are preferred by some types of physicians, they are not suitable for every type of healthcare service.

Growing Demand

Last year, investment sales of medical office properties fell by 12.7 percent, according to CBRE—far below the more than 40 percent drop in volume for traditional office buildings.

According to Cushman & Wakefield’s healthcare capital markets team, which is led by Gino Lollio and Travis Ives, investors have a very positive view of medical office, and many investors new to the sector are aggressively seeking acquisitions. But overall, acquisition activity has been somewhat constrained, largely due to supply constraints rather than a lack of investor appetite.

New investment funds pursuing medical office acquisitions are generally seeking core or core plus assets, with strong tenant bases and significant weighted average lease terms remaining, according the Cushman & Wakefield’s markets experts. These funds are mostly geography-agnostic, though some prefer the Sunbelt states.

Most investors in medical office real estate prefer buildings of 25,000 sq. ft or larger, located on or in close proximity to a hospital campus and anchored by a health system or a leading physician practice, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s team. Buildings within 250 feet of a hospital tend to provide the greatest rent premiums, as reimbursement by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is 40 percent greater than for those facilities vs. off-campus healthcare practices.

The Cushman & Wakefield’s team notes that with strong competition for available assets, cap rates have compressed over the last year as investor demand increased. Yields have compressed as well, though compared to other commercial asset types, medical office yields remain attractive to investors.

According to CBRE data, the average cap rate on sales of medical office assets compressed by about 20 basis points year-over-year in 2020, with the average cap for portfolio sales declining by 100 basis points to about 5.52 percent. The average cap for individual sales dropped to 6.61 percent. Over the same period, the average price per sq. ft. for medical office buildings increased by 5.5 percent.

According to Bodnar, because of strong property fundamentals and a positive outlook, an increasing number of investors are switching their real estate allocations from traditional office buildings to medical office. Those new to the sector are often partnering with experienced medical office developers and operators.

Among CBRE’s 64 survey respondents who answered the question, a total of $10.9 billion in equity has been allocated to healthcare real estate investment and development activity in 2021. That’s approximately 11 percent below the results of the 2020 survey, but 6 percent above the survey administered in 2019. And of the 64 firms respondents to this specific question, only 13 are a healthcare REIT or an institutional healthcare investor.

For example, in January, MedCraft Investment Partners announced it was launching a $500 million joint venture for medical office acquisitions, and, according to The Wall Street Journal, Kayne Anderson Real Estate is getting ready to close a $2.5 billion fund and expects to allocate about half of it to medical offices.

Among the biggest private equity players, Blackstone and KKR have already made significant investments in life sciences real estate and are now seeking additional allocations in the medical office sector. In addition, Nuveen Real Estate, a global real estate investment management firm, has partnered with Healthcare Realty Trust, a REIT focused on managing, acquiring and developing outpatient medical facilities, to enter the medical office sector.

However, Cushman & Wakefield’s team notes that many of the large institutional funds now entering the medical office space are looking for immediate scale, preferably via large portfolio transactions or platform acquisitions.

 

Source: Wealth Management

Healthpeak Properties Makes $371 Million, 14-MOB, 833,000 Square Foot Portfolio Acquisition

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Healthpeak has not revealed the specific properties that were part of its 14-MOB portfolio acquisition. But in its “Q1 Earnings Release and Supplemental Report,” the cover photo caption states that the property shown, which HREI has determined to be 601 Watkins Centre Parkway in Midlothian, Va., occupied by Bon Secours Mercy Health, was acquired in April. The timing and health system affiliation are consistent with what the REIT reported about the transaction. (PHOTO CREDIT: Healthpeak)

In a significant deal that took place in recent weeks, Denver-based Healthpeak Properties Inc. on April 30 acquired a 14-property, 833,000 square foot medical office building (MOB) portfolio for $371 million.

News of the purchase surfaced in the Q1 earnings report recently released by the publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) as well as during the REIT’s May 5 earnings call with securities analysts, during which officials discussed certain aspects of the acquisition.

In its Q1 earnings report, Healthpeak notes that the deal was an “off-market” one and that the facilities are all on hospital campuses or are in off-campus locations but affiliated with “investment grade health systems.”

The MOBs, according to Healthpeak’s Q1 report, are heavily concentrated in the markets of Minneapolis, Chicago, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., Los Angeles and Dallas.

 

Source: HREI

Healthcare Real Estate Well-Positioned For Continued Growth In Post-COVID World

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The COVID-19 health crisis had a greater impact on demand for commercial real estate than the Great Recession, as mandatory quarantines, social distancing, shutdowns, supply chain disruptions, unemployment and an erosion of consumer confidence brought the industry to its knees in 2020 and through the first quarter 2021.

One bright spot in the troubled commercial real estate sector has been healthcare real estate.  While office visits for elective procedures plummeted, critical care, particularly off-campus, saw a surge as a result of the pandemic, balancing any weaknesses in the sector.

The U.S. Medical Office (MOB) vacancy rate was 8.6% as of Q4 2020, up from 7.8% at the end of 2019. In comparison, the overall office sector vacancy rate was 13.2% as of Q4 2020, sales volumes have held up extremely well, and real estate investors remain very bullish on the sector.

“The healthcare sector continues to play a dominant role in the US economy and has displayed year-on-year growth for many decades,” notes Martin Freeman, CEO of OrbVest, a global real estate company that invests in US income producing medical commercial real estate.  “From an economic and political perspective, the new Biden administration is strongly in favor of expanding healthcare services and benefits and we remain bullish on the sector going forward.”

Expectations for continued outperformance in the healthcare real estate sector is buoyed by some of the following fundamentals.

1. Structural Growth In Medical Office Demand Will Include, But Not Be Limited To Telehealth

Investors in healthcare real estate have to consider the impact of health-driven changes, economic-driven changes, and strategic-driven changes. Telehealth will be a great driver of healthcare real estate growth and be complementary rather than competitive. Take telehealth giant Teladoc’s merger with chronic disease manager Livongo, for example.

Social distancing, whether popular or not, will be a growth driver for structural and spatial improvements in medical office buildings, as consumers and staff will require modifications to feel safe.  Economically, capital preservation will impact real estate, and strategically, workforce deployment could be impacted. There could be some short-term disruption as we figure out how to take what worked with the “old normal” and integrate with the “new normal.” We should not be surprised to see limited capacities, rent relief or deferment, headcount reductions based on deferred procedures, and more.

However, long-term, as the sector will inevitably adapt and adjust, and healthcare real estate should have solid long-term growth potential because of shifting consumer needs and evolving demographics.

Medical Office Demand(Source: JLL)

2. Increased Real Estate Demand From The Segmentation Of Wellness And Acute Care Locations

“We are seeing a measurable shift from the hospital as the center of American healthcare,” explains Freeman, “this trend is likely to continue and accelerate in future years.”

This is another tailwind for healthcare real estate partially driven by demographics. The need for preventive and personalized care among millennials and seniors was already reshaping healthcare real estate long before the pandemic. We already discussed how America’s aging demographics appear to directly correlate with increased real estate demand for health services. Providers also understand that both millennials and seniors value preventive and personalized care. They know that these cohorts want to focus on leading a long and healthy life for themselves and their families. Plus, seniors now have access to less expensive and convenient care, while young working millennial parents have access to quicker and specialized care for their children. This has been working too well for it not to increase.

However, this trend is not exclusive to demographic shifts. Many of these triggers are due to rising hospital volume and how complicated they can be to navigate. Convenient access coupled with lifestyle integration look like a key driver. Hospitals will likely focus on higher acuity in-patient care over the long-term, opening up a need for additional real estate dedicated to lower-acuity, lower-cost facilities in more convenient and easily accessible locations in population centers.

Plus, with a brighter spotlight being shone on preexisting conditions, wellness and preventive care needs have never been higher. From a real estate standpoint, future outperformance will likely involve a combination of the following.

• Increased efficiency of outpatient facilities.

This can be considered a “medical home” model. This can include grouping primary care and specialty care in consolidated locations accompanying services such as imaging, pharmacy, and laboratories. This would also potentially require larger buildings with more giant footprints. The most significant providers have increasingly adopted this model already.

• The rise of “MedTail”

Retail and health real estate both share many commonalities, such as the need for high traffic, visibility, neighborhood proximity, and parking access. Shopping center availability and affordability are on the rise, and healthcare tenants may jump at the opportunity to increasingly relocate within retail centers.

This has given rise to a new segment of commercial real estate- “MedTail.” Retail locations with integrated healthcare options, such as drugstores are becoming increasingly prevalent.

According to healthcare real estate firm HBRE, small towns and suburban areas that once had little access to local medical facilities are seeing more options such as the CVS minute clinic or Kroger’s Little Clinic. Plus, urgent care centers have been popping up in retail strip malls as another offering to suburban residents.

Tether Advisors also performed a study and found that “nearly 80 percent of private equity, commercial real estate and retail healthcare respondents believe medtail investment will increase in the coming year and that COVID-19 bolstered the sector’s outlook.”

• Maximize revenue opportunities on a single site

Operators can maximize multiple revenue streams, such as promoting flexibility for different care delivery types at other times. Providers are also more willing to outsource facilities and project management services in strategic partnerships to ensure that they obtain the highest possible value from their real estate.

This could also create a significant real estate opening due to adjustments hospitals will have to make. COVID-19 increased the need for higher-acuity space within hospitals and pushed lower-acuity and administrative uses into alternative locations. This altered the functional mix of hospitals and heightened a public perception that hospitals are for very sick people. Many short- and long-term approaches affecting medical real estate should be seen here.

Hospitals will inevitably have to optimize their existing real estate and reduce the potential for contamination by modifying existing spaces and consolidating. They will also have to embrace higher-acuity care while managing contagion risk- even once the pandemic becomes more manageable.  Future success for hospitals will also involve embracing the shift to higher-acuity care and easing safety concerns within hospital facilities.

3. Medical Office Investments Are A Source Of Stability Pre-Pandemic, Mid-Pandemic, And Post-Pandemic

The numbers don’t lie. Medical office buildings (MOBs) are loved by passive investors because of long-term leases, stable occupancy, consistent income streams, and tenant quality. This asset class has many tailwinds blowing in its favor for both the short-term and long-term.

First and foremost, these properties greatly benefited from all of the aid in the multiple stimulus packages and the trillions dedicated to helping small businesses. Think of all the independent physicians and small practices that have benefited from the PPP loans. While many tenants struggled to pay rent, most of these medical tenants were absolutely fine. Loans from the federal government required hospitals to maintain staffing levels and continue to pay rent on their buildings, and as a result relatively few organizations had trouble making rent. In fact, in the worst part of the pandemic, medical office space owners collected rent from tenants in the high 90 percent range. As a result of the relatively low amount of rent deferrals, there’s a strong long-term outlook for healthcare real estate.

Consider MOB fundamentals and occupancy rates too. Across approximately 1.5 billion square feet in the United States, MOB occupancy has been remarkably stable. Between the financial crisis and now, MOB occupancy has fluctuated between 91.4 percent and 92.6 percent. Compare that to the average occupancy rate for offices in the U.S. in that same period- roughly 82.1 percent to 85.8 percent.

Medical Office Building OccupancyOr maybe you want to consider tenant retention. Because of the high investment in infrastructure required by medical tenants and barriers to entry such as regulations needed for surgery centers and imaging, MOBs on average report an average retention rate in the high 80 percent range, significantly surpassing typical commercial office retention.

Plus, despite all of the economic headwinds and the downturn in commercial real estate, new outpatient medical space construction has remained consistently stable at around 17 to 20 million square feet a year, roughly 1.8 percent of inventory nationally, and well below the national average of 2.1 percent for commercial office.

There is also virtually no speculative medical office development either, with most developers and lenders alike demanding pre-leasing of 50 percent to launch new construction.

Look at how medical rent growths have grown too. Nationally, the average medical office net rents steadily rose from $18.28 per square foot in 2012 to $21.51 in early 2020. This is a stable 1.5 percent year-over-year gain and 31.8 percent peak-to-trough return from the low of $16.32 in the fourth quarter of 2008.

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Key Takeaway for Investors

Can healthcare real estate weather the commercial market’s downturn?  The answer is a resounding yes.

“The current challenges faced by the global economy, and the potentially aggressive rebound in business sentiment in the US, creates an ideal opportunity for companies like OrbVest to assist investors from around the world to invest directly into medical real estate in the US and grow their wealth consistently and sustainably,” says Freeman.

Healthcare is changing, our demographics are aging, and if this past year showed us anything, it’s that an adaptable and forward-thinking health system is vital to a functional society. We will see numerous shifts in healthcare real estate and MOBs in the short-term and long-term. But the bottom line is that if you look at the fundamentals, you really cannot find a better long-term investment than healthcare real estate for stable income streams, quality tenants, long-term leases, and high occupancy rates.

If you look at investor activity since the financial crisis, this supports the sector’s fundamentals. This is a durable asset class, changing with the times, and a property type that will experience growth far into the future. If you are looking for passive income in real estate, healthcare commercial real estate offers an extraordinary investment opportunity.

 

Source: NuWire Investors