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Healthcare Real Estate Well-Positioned For Continued Growth In Post-COVID World

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The COVID-19 health crisis had a greater impact on demand for commercial real estate than the Great Recession, as mandatory quarantines, social distancing, shutdowns, supply chain disruptions, unemployment and an erosion of consumer confidence brought the industry to its knees in 2020 and through the first quarter 2021.

One bright spot in the troubled commercial real estate sector has been healthcare real estate.  While office visits for elective procedures plummeted, critical care, particularly off-campus, saw a surge as a result of the pandemic, balancing any weaknesses in the sector.

The U.S. Medical Office (MOB) vacancy rate was 8.6% as of Q4 2020, up from 7.8% at the end of 2019. In comparison, the overall office sector vacancy rate was 13.2% as of Q4 2020, sales volumes have held up extremely well, and real estate investors remain very bullish on the sector.

“The healthcare sector continues to play a dominant role in the US economy and has displayed year-on-year growth for many decades,” notes Martin Freeman, CEO of OrbVest, a global real estate company that invests in US income producing medical commercial real estate.  “From an economic and political perspective, the new Biden administration is strongly in favor of expanding healthcare services and benefits and we remain bullish on the sector going forward.”

Expectations for continued outperformance in the healthcare real estate sector is buoyed by some of the following fundamentals.

1. Structural Growth In Medical Office Demand Will Include, But Not Be Limited To Telehealth

Investors in healthcare real estate have to consider the impact of health-driven changes, economic-driven changes, and strategic-driven changes. Telehealth will be a great driver of healthcare real estate growth and be complementary rather than competitive. Take telehealth giant Teladoc’s merger with chronic disease manager Livongo, for example.

Social distancing, whether popular or not, will be a growth driver for structural and spatial improvements in medical office buildings, as consumers and staff will require modifications to feel safe.  Economically, capital preservation will impact real estate, and strategically, workforce deployment could be impacted. There could be some short-term disruption as we figure out how to take what worked with the “old normal” and integrate with the “new normal.” We should not be surprised to see limited capacities, rent relief or deferment, headcount reductions based on deferred procedures, and more.

However, long-term, as the sector will inevitably adapt and adjust, and healthcare real estate should have solid long-term growth potential because of shifting consumer needs and evolving demographics.

Medical Office Demand(Source: JLL)

2. Increased Real Estate Demand From The Segmentation Of Wellness And Acute Care Locations

“We are seeing a measurable shift from the hospital as the center of American healthcare,” explains Freeman, “this trend is likely to continue and accelerate in future years.”

This is another tailwind for healthcare real estate partially driven by demographics. The need for preventive and personalized care among millennials and seniors was already reshaping healthcare real estate long before the pandemic. We already discussed how America’s aging demographics appear to directly correlate with increased real estate demand for health services. Providers also understand that both millennials and seniors value preventive and personalized care. They know that these cohorts want to focus on leading a long and healthy life for themselves and their families. Plus, seniors now have access to less expensive and convenient care, while young working millennial parents have access to quicker and specialized care for their children. This has been working too well for it not to increase.

However, this trend is not exclusive to demographic shifts. Many of these triggers are due to rising hospital volume and how complicated they can be to navigate. Convenient access coupled with lifestyle integration look like a key driver. Hospitals will likely focus on higher acuity in-patient care over the long-term, opening up a need for additional real estate dedicated to lower-acuity, lower-cost facilities in more convenient and easily accessible locations in population centers.

Plus, with a brighter spotlight being shone on preexisting conditions, wellness and preventive care needs have never been higher. From a real estate standpoint, future outperformance will likely involve a combination of the following.

• Increased efficiency of outpatient facilities.

This can be considered a “medical home” model. This can include grouping primary care and specialty care in consolidated locations accompanying services such as imaging, pharmacy, and laboratories. This would also potentially require larger buildings with more giant footprints. The most significant providers have increasingly adopted this model already.

• The rise of “MedTail”

Retail and health real estate both share many commonalities, such as the need for high traffic, visibility, neighborhood proximity, and parking access. Shopping center availability and affordability are on the rise, and healthcare tenants may jump at the opportunity to increasingly relocate within retail centers.

This has given rise to a new segment of commercial real estate- “MedTail.” Retail locations with integrated healthcare options, such as drugstores are becoming increasingly prevalent.

According to healthcare real estate firm HBRE, small towns and suburban areas that once had little access to local medical facilities are seeing more options such as the CVS minute clinic or Kroger’s Little Clinic. Plus, urgent care centers have been popping up in retail strip malls as another offering to suburban residents.

Tether Advisors also performed a study and found that “nearly 80 percent of private equity, commercial real estate and retail healthcare respondents believe medtail investment will increase in the coming year and that COVID-19 bolstered the sector’s outlook.”

• Maximize revenue opportunities on a single site

Operators can maximize multiple revenue streams, such as promoting flexibility for different care delivery types at other times. Providers are also more willing to outsource facilities and project management services in strategic partnerships to ensure that they obtain the highest possible value from their real estate.

This could also create a significant real estate opening due to adjustments hospitals will have to make. COVID-19 increased the need for higher-acuity space within hospitals and pushed lower-acuity and administrative uses into alternative locations. This altered the functional mix of hospitals and heightened a public perception that hospitals are for very sick people. Many short- and long-term approaches affecting medical real estate should be seen here.

Hospitals will inevitably have to optimize their existing real estate and reduce the potential for contamination by modifying existing spaces and consolidating. They will also have to embrace higher-acuity care while managing contagion risk- even once the pandemic becomes more manageable.  Future success for hospitals will also involve embracing the shift to higher-acuity care and easing safety concerns within hospital facilities.

3. Medical Office Investments Are A Source Of Stability Pre-Pandemic, Mid-Pandemic, And Post-Pandemic

The numbers don’t lie. Medical office buildings (MOBs) are loved by passive investors because of long-term leases, stable occupancy, consistent income streams, and tenant quality. This asset class has many tailwinds blowing in its favor for both the short-term and long-term.

First and foremost, these properties greatly benefited from all of the aid in the multiple stimulus packages and the trillions dedicated to helping small businesses. Think of all the independent physicians and small practices that have benefited from the PPP loans. While many tenants struggled to pay rent, most of these medical tenants were absolutely fine. Loans from the federal government required hospitals to maintain staffing levels and continue to pay rent on their buildings, and as a result relatively few organizations had trouble making rent. In fact, in the worst part of the pandemic, medical office space owners collected rent from tenants in the high 90 percent range. As a result of the relatively low amount of rent deferrals, there’s a strong long-term outlook for healthcare real estate.

Consider MOB fundamentals and occupancy rates too. Across approximately 1.5 billion square feet in the United States, MOB occupancy has been remarkably stable. Between the financial crisis and now, MOB occupancy has fluctuated between 91.4 percent and 92.6 percent. Compare that to the average occupancy rate for offices in the U.S. in that same period- roughly 82.1 percent to 85.8 percent.

Medical Office Building OccupancyOr maybe you want to consider tenant retention. Because of the high investment in infrastructure required by medical tenants and barriers to entry such as regulations needed for surgery centers and imaging, MOBs on average report an average retention rate in the high 80 percent range, significantly surpassing typical commercial office retention.

Plus, despite all of the economic headwinds and the downturn in commercial real estate, new outpatient medical space construction has remained consistently stable at around 17 to 20 million square feet a year, roughly 1.8 percent of inventory nationally, and well below the national average of 2.1 percent for commercial office.

There is also virtually no speculative medical office development either, with most developers and lenders alike demanding pre-leasing of 50 percent to launch new construction.

Look at how medical rent growths have grown too. Nationally, the average medical office net rents steadily rose from $18.28 per square foot in 2012 to $21.51 in early 2020. This is a stable 1.5 percent year-over-year gain and 31.8 percent peak-to-trough return from the low of $16.32 in the fourth quarter of 2008.

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Key Takeaway for Investors

Can healthcare real estate weather the commercial market’s downturn?  The answer is a resounding yes.

“The current challenges faced by the global economy, and the potentially aggressive rebound in business sentiment in the US, creates an ideal opportunity for companies like OrbVest to assist investors from around the world to invest directly into medical real estate in the US and grow their wealth consistently and sustainably,” says Freeman.

Healthcare is changing, our demographics are aging, and if this past year showed us anything, it’s that an adaptable and forward-thinking health system is vital to a functional society. We will see numerous shifts in healthcare real estate and MOBs in the short-term and long-term. But the bottom line is that if you look at the fundamentals, you really cannot find a better long-term investment than healthcare real estate for stable income streams, quality tenants, long-term leases, and high occupancy rates.

If you look at investor activity since the financial crisis, this supports the sector’s fundamentals. This is a durable asset class, changing with the times, and a property type that will experience growth far into the future. If you are looking for passive income in real estate, healthcare commercial real estate offers an extraordinary investment opportunity.

 

Source: NuWire Investors

Report: MOB Sector Boosted By Demand And Capital

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The medical office sector was firing on all cylinders before the arrival of COVID-19, and it appears to be well-positioned for a robust rebound post-pandemic, according to a special report by Marcus & Millichap.

In the third quarter forecast titled Beyond the Health Crisis: National Medical Office Outlook, the company notes that the adaptation of patient care and the ongoing rise in health-care needs will buoy demand for medical office buildings despite the disruption brought on by the coronavirus.

“The medical office sector is being tested as operators navigate new challenges created by COVID-19. Medical office was once perceived to be a more resil­ient asset class during a downturn, but the unique uphill battle faced by health-care providers due to the pandemic has choked revenue streams and considerably shrunk margins,” according to the Marcus & Millichap report.

The national vacancy rate rose to 8.9 percent, marking an increase of 40 basis points from the second quarter of 2019. Project abandonment and delays caused construction activity to drop 1 million square feet year-over-year. Additional projects will be postponed or canceled in the upcoming months; however, this will help stave off any threats of overdevelopment in the sector.

Other fundamentals, such as rental rate trends, serve as indicators of strong performance ahead. Most REITs reported a solid level of rent collections even though many tenants pursued deferrals and rent relief. Additionally, rent growth continued its pre-pandemic upswing, climbing to an average of $25.22 per square foot.

A New Age In Health Care

Well in advance of the appearance of the coronavirus, the U.S. health-care industry had begun to decentralize, providing more medical care in outpatient facilities instead of hospitals.

“Excluding some major surgeries, off-campus properties now offer the highest quality of care and complex procedures, driven by the need to provide equal levels of service across a metro,” according to the Marcus & Millichap report. “New hospital and expansion projects continue to target suburban areas as a demographic shift has caught the attention of health systems, placing more modern facilities and specialized care closer to patients’ homes. As these medical districts expand, the need for nearby outpatient clinics and supportive services generates demand for medical office space.”

Telehealth, via phone or online video, increased dramatically as a result of social distancing, and while experts expect the use of virtual care options to continue to rise in the post-pandemic environment, they do not expect it to result in a reduction in the need for medical office buildings. According to the report, the need for certain in-person visits will remain, as will the need for labs and imaging, all of which will translate into continued demand for medical office accommodations.

Finally, the coronavirus has not changed the fact that the considerable Baby Boomer population continues to age, and it’s doing so in an era when medical technology and advancements are supporting longer lifespans. As Marcus & Millichap notes in the report, the population of citizens aged 65 and older will expand by 30 percent over the next 10 years.

And with age comes more visits to the physician’s office. Individuals in the 55-64 age range make an average of 4 physician visits annually, but the number of yearly visits rises to 5.9 for those in the 65-74 age range and jumps to 7.6 for those 75 and older.

“Despite the short-term costs, the health-care industry will be one of the quickest to bounce back from the pandemic since the care needs of a growing and aging population continue to increase,” Marcus & Millichap asserts in the report. “Medical services are returning as states move through reopening phases, and pent-up demand from postponed procedures and office visits provide a positive outlook.”

Read the full report on Marcus & Millichap’s website.

 

Source: Commercial Property Executive

Acceleration Of Telehealth Adoption Set To Reshape Healthcare Real Estate

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The next time you visit your physician, your appointment may very well be virtual from the comfort of your own home.

Telehealth, or telemedicine, was an emerging part of healthcare delivery long before COVID-19. Now, the pandemic has catapulted the concept into national awareness. Changes in insurance reimbursement have expanded the availability of telehealth, with new implications for healthcare real estate occupiers, owners and investors.

What does “telehealth” mean, exactly? It encompasses electronic, interactive services ranging from a simple phone call or email with a clinician to a virtual exam with a caregiver for the purpose of diagnosis, intervention or ongoing care management. It’s enabled by such platforms as Doxy.me and NextGen Healthcare that make it easy to accept payments or insurance information in conjunction with an appointment.

Despite the convenience and effectiveness of telehealth, and the growth of secure telehealth platforms over the past decades, its pre-pandemic use was limited because of insurer reimbursement restrictions, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) patient data privacy requirements, and practitioner concerns about malpractice.

However, when states began to enact stay-at-home orders in early March in response to the pandemic, telehealth gained new attention among policymakers as a solution to providing healthcare without further jeopardizing patient health. As a result, provisions in the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act lifted restrictions on where, how and with whom Medicare patients can access virtual care.

For the first time ever, there may be a critical mass of patients and practitioners alike able to tap the benefits of telehealth, mostly substituting onsite appointments with simple e-visits. Now, Medicare patients can access telehealth services from their own homes and healthcare providers can deliver service from any healthcare facility. Telehealth visits can take place via any phone with audio/video capabilities, using common consumer platforms such as FaceTime and Skype. Also important, first-time patient visits via telehealth are now eligible for Medicare coverage, too. Any healthcare professionals eligible to bill Medicare for their services can now bill Medicare for telehealth services, too.

From Stopgap Service To Structural Change

The acceleration of telehealth adoption may have been forced out of necessity during the pandemic. However, its use will likely continue to grow even after the pandemic fades.

In the post-pandemic era, the ease, efficiency and convenience of telehealth care will increase patient commitment and retention, and potentially lead to more in-person appointments for follow-up care. Telehealth also improves compliance with prescribed treatment plans, including follow-through on required appointments.

Also critical, telehealth enables patients in even the most remote and underserved locations to access care. And, it may prove to be especially well-suited for remote management of long-term chronic conditions such as allergies, diabetes and multiple sclerosis, and for monitoring such treatments as infusions and pacemakers.

As medical technology continues to advance at a rapid pace, an increasingly sophisticated suite of implantable and wearable devices, or even robotic telemedicine carts, will enhance home monitoring and management capabilities. Healthcare providers who implement this device-enabled “hospital at home” concept can help patients maintain their long-term health safely.

Telehealth’s Impact On Healthcare Real Estate

Clearly, telehealth usage has surged in 2020 to occupy a much more prominent place within the care spectrum than ever before. However, it’s important to keep the trend in perspective. According to FAIR Health’s private healthcare insurance claims data, only 0.17 percent of all services, or less than one-fifth of 1 percent, were provided via telehealth in the first quarter of 2019. In 2020, first quarter usage jumped to about 7.5 percent of services. April and May usage—data is not yet available—is forecasted to be higher than previous months. Thus, while telehealth usage has grown dramatically, its role in the healthcare service delivery spectrum continues to be secondary.

Yet, the long term may reveal a different story. As healthcare providers look to drive down costs while boosting reimbursements, telehealth’s role will likely become more prominent. As a result, many healthcare providers will need to reconfigure their facilities to provide HIPAA-compliant, technology-enabled spaces for the provision of telehealth and remote health monitoring services.

In light of the telehealth trend, the following are four steps healthcare occupiers, owners and investors should consider for the future of their facilities:

Develop telehealth care provider suites. Although patients will be able to participate in telehealth calls and remote health monitoring at home, practitioners will still need space for calls or electronic communications, as well as for remote monitoring and diagnostic equipment. Medical office buildings could provide suites for technicians and nurses to virtually manage intensive care, emergency and home care patients, for example. These spaces would require Internet redundancy, appropriate lighting, screens and acoustics, and assured patient-caregiver privacy for HIPAA regulatory compliance.

Reconfigure public spaces. Even as healthcare providers transition more basic care and monitoring services to online delivery, patients will still need office visits for advanced treatments, extensive physical evaluations and for use of advanced diagnostic equipment. However, the pandemic already has led healthcare providers to rethink their waiting room management to allow for social distancing. For instance, some providers ask patients to wait in their cars rather than in the waiting room and use text messaging to alert patients of their appointments.

With widespread adoption of digital patient registration and text messaging, less waiting room space will be needed even after the pandemic. An onsite kiosk, for example, could be used by patients to register upon entry, and possibly could support healthcare service delivery in other ways.

Reconfigure and repurpose healthcare delivery spaces. Many facilities will require interior reconfigurations, renovations and build-outs to support the transition to telehealth services. The adoption of telehealth care delivery will likely reduce the number of physical exam rooms needed in a healthcare facility and will free up square footage for other purposes. With less space required for physical exams, facilities can prioritize space for high-value imaging, diagnostics, injectables, wound care, advanced and acute treatments, obstetrics and laboratory services.

Pursuing The Possibilities Of Telehealth

As pandemic-related financial losses continue to mount across the healthcare sector, telehealth offers the potential to provide efficient, effective patient care while maximizing productivity-per-square-foot of healthcare real estate. For some healthcare providers, telehealth adoption could dramatically reduce the need for office space or increase the need for different kinds of spaces, depending on the services provided. Whatever the situation, healthcare providers, owners and investors have always been adept at adaptation—and many are already positioned to pursue the possibilities of telehealth.

 

Source: GlobeSt