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The Risks For New Investors In Healthcare

There’s a lot to like about the healthcare sector right now.

While other commercial sectors struggled during the recession, healthcare persevered. And, with 10,000 people turning 65 each day and then living longer, demand should remain strong for the sector.

“The overall demand for health care is incredibly high and growing,” David Lari, partner at Cox, Castle & Nicholson LLP tells GlobeSt.com. “Trips to the doctor for healthcare services are high and very likely to continue to increase. The medical sector—doctors, physician groups and hospitals—tend to be pretty good tenants, especially if you compare it to retail, for instance, where a lot of tenants have gone out of business.”

Investors from around the globe see these positive demographic trends. For instance, Lari says Asian investors, in particular, have been targeting American healthcare properties because their populations are also aging.

“By all accounts they understand how senior facilities work, from their experiences in their home country,” Lari says. “We’re also seeing Middle Eastern money coming into various health care facilities as they understand it more and see it as a way to diversify their portfolios. We’re also seeing a lot of large institutional private equity groups and pension fund groups get into the space where maybe they weren’t before.”

While the traditional players—healthcare REITs and institutional players—have the industry knowledge and know the major players and key issues, these newcomers often have to get up to speed. Just because the demographics are pointing in the right direction doesn’t mean they aren’t plenty of risks for healthcare investors.

“I think there are higher barriers to entry than some other classes of real estate, especially when you’re dealing with the acquisition of licensed facilities, such as a hospital, senior living facility or skilled nursing facility,” Lari says. “If you’re dealing with an on-campus medical office building, many of them tend to be ground lease and you need to navigate through those issues.”

Investment groups also need to understand their tenant mix and the long-term desires of the local hospital system when they purchase on-campus buildings.

“In essence you’re doing a joint venture when you’re buying an on-campus asset, which has restrictions with the hospital system,” Lari says. “If you’re not well aware of their short- and long-term plans and how you’re going to fit into those, you could get burnt quite easily.”

Lari says investment groups also need to spend time thinking about tenant acquisition. If they’re banking on getting physician groups to move from far away to their location, they may need to rethink their strategy.

“Typically speaking, physicians and physician groups don’t want to move too far,” Lari says. “If they do, oftentimes they will lose their patient base.”

Healthcare investors also need to be aware of the merger-and-acquisition environment in this era of healthcare consolidation, such as the mergers of Advocate Health Care and Aurora Health Care and Beth Israel Deaconness Medical Center and Lahey Health.

“You need to know how your particular assets fit into the growth strategy of the acquiring entity,” Lari says. “If they’re going to consolidate, don’t need your particular location and are moving physicians and physician groups out of it, then it could be potentially detrimental to the real estate investor.”

Lari doesn’t think these challenges should push investors away from healthcare. They just need to understand that there is going to be a steep learning curve.

“The key is understanding where your asset is in the marketplace and what type of health care services are going to fit within your particular asset,” Lari says.

 

Source: GlobeSt.

What Is Making The MOB Segment So Healthy?

Since 2012, annual revenues from the pharmaceutical industry have increased from nearly $200 billion to almost $300 billion in 2018. In the same period, single-tenant medical office transactions jumped from almost $1.5 billion in 2012 to $2.5 billion last year.

What is causing the significant increase in single-tenant medical office transactions along with the robust health-care market?

The simple answer is an aging population. There is no question that America is getting older. According to the United States Census Bureau, the number of Americans 65 years and older is expected to double over the next three decades. An aging population requires more drugs, more health-care professionals and  more space to deliver medical services. For investors in net lease properties, the medical office sector can provide a strong investment opportunity to ride this seemingly unstoppable trend.

First, the space is more accessible to a wider group of investors with an average transaction size of nearly $10 million in 2018 vs. over $20 million for the rest of the single-tenant office sector.

Secondly, medical office is commanding higher per-square-foot valuations than the net lease office sector overall, with buyers paying a 7 percent premium per square foot over non-medical assets. This reflects the robust demand and healthy market fundamentals, as investors can take comfort in owning a solidly performing medical office property that commands a strong valuation.

In an investor survey recently conducted by JLL, respondents’ interest in office assets leased to health-care-related tenants outpaced that of technology, business services, government and financial services. Investors who are targeting the health-care space in 2019 indicated they are allocating on average 20 percent of their capital towards medical office assets.

Additionally, apart from industrial assets, investors indicated that the health-care sector was the most likely to exhibit a decrease in cap rates in the remainder of the year. This, along with the other factors previously mentioned, has attracted a diversified and evenly distributed buyer population. Institutional and private investors as well as REITs have been putting money into this property type, which indicates the depth of investor interest across the spectrum of buyers. Broad investor interest and increased demand is expected to continue to put owners in a strong position to sell their investments at attractive valuations in the future.

Finally, the asset class on average commands lower cap rates than the rest of the single-tenant office space, due to the mission criticality of the real estate. Its cap rate is reflective of its dependable stream of income. On average, medical cap rates are 30 basis points lower than those in the office sector overall.

As net lease investors navigate the uncertainty of the retail sector, the medical office space appears poised to offer an alternative, with strong, dependable returns that are more difficult to disrupt with technology and the internet. As long-term trends in health care continue to point toward longer lifespans and increased care, medical office space will remain critical and demand will increase, providing opportunities for investors to capitalize on this unstoppable force: growing old.

 

Source: Commercial Property Executive