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Medical Office Real Estate Demand Is Outpacing Supply In Dallas-Fort Worth

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Medical office space vacancy rates in Dallas-Fort Worth are more than a percentage point below the five-year average as demand remains strong in the region, according to a report from Transwestern.

The report says that the DFW market is undersupplied, but as rents rise, new construction may become more feasible in the future. Interest rates and material costs are rising, which has slowed down all new construction, and the medical office building space is no different. While rent is growing, it hasn’t kept up with other costs, so underwriting for new construction has been more difficult. But if the limited medical office space remains with increasing population in the region, rent prices will rise until new construction can be justified, the report says.

Prior to the pandemic, Dallas was the country’s second-most active medical office building construction market, behind only New York.

“There’s a definite need for increased health care services, more hospital campuses, and more doctors’ offices, but also the real estate that can house them,” says Andrew Matheny, research manager for Transwestern. “When you set that against the construction levels that have been declining over the last couple of years, that’s going to be a significant driver of rents and new development here in the next few years.”

While square footage under construction and 12-month deliveries are down compared to a year ago in the medical office space, those figures could soon be trending in the opposite direction. Vacancy rates in DFW are at 10.2 percent and were 11.6 percent one year ago. Gross rents are also up nearly 3 percent compared to a year ago.

The healthcare market overall continues to grow. Employment for the hospital space is up 4 percent compared to a year ago and 10 percent for other ambulatory service markets. Total available space is at 13.8 percent, which is below the five-year average for the region.

“In the last three to six months, we’re starting to see transactions come through that are bringing revenue in line with these higher costs,” Matheny says. “That may need to happen here for another couple of quarters before we start seeing more groundbreaking projects.”

South Dallas, in-town Dallas, and along the Dallas North Tollway have some of the lowest vacancy rates in Dallas, though there are zero projects under construction in-town and South Dallas, with just 21,000 square feet under construction near the tollway. In the Frisco/Legacy region, there are more than 150,00 sf under construction, but it has one of the highest vacancy rates in the region, at 13. 9 percent. The East Dallas suburbs (17.3 percent) and Grapevine/Southlake (23.1 percent) have higher vacancy rates than Plano/Legacy.

If the market responds as Transwestern is predicting, the new hybrid work environment will probably play a factor.

“If people are spending more time at home, they’re probably going to prefer to see physicians and providers that are close to where they live, so we may see a geographic rebalancing of health care services close to where people live,” Matheny says.

This trend is already making waves with the growing presence of urgent care centers, retail clinics, and free-standing emergency rooms popping up closer to where people live. Hospitals, too, are moving more services away from central hubs and into ambulatory care facilities. It isn’t just more convenient; caring for people outside the hospital is also cheaper.

Telehealth has surged during and after the pandemic, but Matheny doesn’t see it significantly impacting the medical office market.

“While it may allow a physician to reach more people without coming in, physicians still need physical spaces where they can see their patients face to face,” Matheny says. “From a leasing perspective, it’s been a very busy medical office space. There is a demand for it, and I think people want to see their doctor in person.”

 

Source: D CEO Magazine

How Big Will The Health Care In Malls Concept Get?

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The way America shops has changed, but some experiences are still better in person. The same can be said of health care.

Not long ago, outpatient health care and megamalls would have seemed like an odd marriage. But today’s consumers understand this is a marriage of convenience — one that can offer great benefits.

“The demand for health services detached from a large hospital is growing rapidly,” said Patrick Christensen, president of Sturtevant-based Horizon Retail Construction. “People are seeking out more options and want health care that is closest to them.”

Why Malls?

As much of retail has moved online, malls have one key commodity: space. And that space is getting more plentiful. According to Moody’s Analytics’ commercial real estate division, the mall vacancy rate in the first quarter of this year was a record high 11.4%.

Outpatient health care organizations can fill those spaces. The footprint of health care facilities can vary greatly. An urgent care clinic might fit well in a former bookstore. Other health care providers might require more square footage.

One Hundred Oaks mall in Nashville offers a case study for the ways outpatient health care facilities can revive a struggling retail space. Before 2009, stores were leaving and the mall was emptying out fast. Then Vanderbilt University Medical Center’s Vanderbilt Health facility moved in, taking up nearly half of the mall’s space. The new health care facility brought in foot traffic, which in turn attracted traditional retailers and breathed new life into the once-troubled shopping mall.

More Medical Malls?

The number of Americans 65 and older is projected to nearly double from 52 million in 2018 to 95 million by 2060, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Demand for health care services should grow as the population ages.

Considering the benefits that malls offer patients — accessibility, physical space and proximity to other retailers and activities — the potential for continued growth of outpatient health care facilities in malls is immense.

“We are seeing a demand for more outpatient facilities off the campuses of large hospitals,” Christensen said.

Expertise in building care facilities

Sturtevant-based Horizon Retail Construction is uniquely positioned to help shape the way vendors and buyers experience malls. The company has extensive experience transforming retail spaces to make them more conducive to the needs of both retailers and consumers. Horizon’s clients in the health care space include VillageMD and Walgreens, Oak Street Health, Benchmark Physical Therapy and Humana.

The project with Oak Street was particularly ambitious: Horizon was responsible for opening the Chicago-based outfit’s first two clinics in Memphis.

“We are proud to be involved in the Oak Street Health program,” Christensen said. “They provide a great service to the community.”

For a health care industry that is ever changing, Horizon’s ability to “mobilize rapidly,” as Christensen says, could be an asset. Horizon employs more than 150 superintendents — none of whom are subcontractors. That workforce creates a speedy response time to client needs.

“We have shown the ability to quickly adapt to tenant needs,” Christensen said. “Because of that we are valuable working for both small and large businesses.”

 

Source: Waco Tribune-Herald